- Net EPA/play
- −0.107 27th of 32
- Points
- 355–488 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 61% +8.0 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 7.1% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play−0.018 23rd
Pass EPA/dropback+0.023 20th
Rush EPA/carry−0.113 29th
Offense success43.0% 22nd
Defense EPA allowed+0.088 27th
Pass D EPA+0.164 26th
Run D EPA−0.020 25th
Defense success allowed48.5% 31st
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play−0.036 21st
Pass EPA/dropback−0.023 24th
Rush EPA/carry−0.058 14th
Offense success43.3% 14th
Defense EPA allowed+0.073 26th
Pass D EPA+0.248 31st
Run D EPA−0.136 7th
Defense success allowed43.0% 13th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
81 graded calls, 7 go-for-its
On the 62 clear-cut calls, the Cardinals matched the model 82% of the time. They kicked 10 times when going was clearly better, and went 1 time when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 12.0 expected points, 7th fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.05EP · wk 5vs TEN · Q2 12:32 · 4th & 1 at own 35 · up 11
Chose punt; model said go for it. (12:32) 12-B.Gillikin punts 39 yards to TEN 26, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 17-C.Dike. - −1.03EP · wk 3vs SF · Q2 02:19 · 4th & 1 at own 37 · tied
Chose punt; model said go for it. (2:19) 12-B.Gillikin punts 53 yards to SF 10, Center-46-A.Brewer. 9-S.Moore pushed ob at SF 14 for 4 yards (80-S.Fehoko). - −1.03EP · wk 16vs ATL · Q2 13:32 · 4th & 2 at opp 33 · up 7
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (13:32) 38-C.Ryland 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-M.Haack. - −0.99EP · wk 16vs ATL · Q1 12:51 · 4th & 2 at opp 31 · tied
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (12:51) 38-C.Ryland 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-M.Haack.
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- −43%win prob · wk 3SF vs ARI · Q4 00:04
(:04) 18-E.Pineiro 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-7-T.Morstead. - −38%win prob · wk 6ARI vs IND · Q4 00:58
(:58) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete short left to 85-T.McBride [97-L.Latu]. - −37%win prob · wk 5TEN vs ARI · Q4 00:03
(:03) 6-J.Slye 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker. - −35%win prob · wk 12ARI vs JAX · Q5 04:07
(4:07) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete deep middle to 89-X.Weaver (21-C.Braswell, 42-A.Wingard). - −30%win prob · wk 4SEA vs ARI · Q4 00:04
(:04) 5-J.Myers 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.