- Net EPA/play
- +0.009 16th of 32
- Points
- 424–398 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 43% −11.2 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 10.8% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play+0.034 12th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.018 21st
Rush EPA/carry+0.052 3rd
Offense success44.6% 13th
Defense EPA allowed+0.025 21st
Pass D EPA+0.085 21st
Run D EPA−0.086 11th
Defense success allowed44.2% 15th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play−0.015 18th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.034 18th
Rush EPA/carry−0.074 16th
Offense success44.1% 12th
Defense EPA allowed+0.017 19th
Pass D EPA+0.076 20th
Run D EPA−0.070 19th
Defense success allowed44.5% 24th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
85 graded calls, 13 go-for-its
On the 53 clear-cut calls, the Ravens matched the model 70% of the time. They kicked 15 times when going was clearly better, and went 1 time when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 19.2 expected points, 26th fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.71EP · wk 10vs MIN · Q2 01:14 · 4th & 2 at opp 10 · down 7
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (1:14) 33-T.Loop 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout. - −1.34EP · wk 5vs HOU · Q1 02:01 · 4th & 3 at opp 9 · down 7
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (2:01) 33-T.Loop 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout. - −1.33EP · wk 8vs CHI · Q3 10:08 · 4th & 3 at opp 10 · up 4
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (10:08) 33-T.Loop 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout. - −1.26EP · wk 15vs CIN · Q3 09:08 · 4th & 3 at opp 8 · up 14
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (9:08) 33-T.Loop 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- −54%win prob · wk 18BAL vs PIT · Q4 00:02
(:02) 33-T.Loop 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout. - +45%win prob · wk 18BAL vs PIT · Q4 02:30
(2:30) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 4-Z.Flowers for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on PIT-24-J.Porter, Defensive Holding, declined. - −39%win prob · wk 1BUF vs BAL · Q4 00:03
(:03) 15-M.Prater 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-40-B.Robbins. - +37%win prob · wk 11BAL vs CLE · Q4 02:39
(2:39) Direct snap to 89-M.Andrews. 89-M.Andrews right end for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - +35%win prob · wk 18BAL vs PIT · Q4 00:21
(:21) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 80-I.Likely to PIT 24 for 26 yards (5-J.Ramsey) [90-T.Watt].