- Net EPA/play
- −0.107 26th of 32
- Points
- 311–380 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 49% −4.0 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 8.3% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play−0.039 26th
Pass EPA/dropback−0.028 26th
Rush EPA/carry−0.055 19th
Offense success43.1% 21st
Defense EPA allowed+0.067 23rd
Pass D EPA+0.119 24th
Run D EPA+0.001 27th
Defense success allowed44.3% 16th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play+0.042 9th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.084 14th
Rush EPA/carry−0.041 12th
Offense success42.8% 16th
Defense EPA allowed+0.030 20th
Pass D EPA+0.073 19th
Run D EPA−0.032 25th
Defense success allowed44.4% 23rd
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
89 graded calls, 21 go-for-its
On the 62 clear-cut calls, the Panthers matched the model 84% of the time. They kicked 10 times when going was clearly better, and went 0 times when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 12.7 expected points, 8th fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.48EP · wk 6vs DAL · Q1 09:11 · 4th & 2 at opp 13 · tied
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (9:11) 10-R.Fitzgerald 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin. - −1.37EP · wk 17vs SEA · Q2 03:50 · 4th & 1 at opp 17 · down 3
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (3:50) 10-R.Fitzgerald 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin. - −0.98EP · wk 11vs ATL · Q2 00:28 · 4th & 4 at opp 11 · down 14
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (:28) 10-R.Fitzgerald 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin. - −0.91EP · wk 16vs TB · Q2 07:34 · 4th & 2 at own 43 · down 7
Chose punt; model said go for it. (7:34) 6-S.Martin punts 43 yards to TB 14, Center-44-J.Jansen. 19-K.Johnson to TB 21 for 7 yards (29-A.Evans; 87-B.Tremayne). ** Injury Update: CAR-33-R.Rochell has returned to the game.
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- +41%win prob · wk 11CAR vs ATL · Q5 08:06
(8:06) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 82-T.Tremble to ATL 15 for 54 yards (55-K.Elliss). - +33%win prob · wk 13CAR vs LA · Q4 06:43
(6:43) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - +31%win prob · wk 16TB vs CAR · Q4 00:49
(:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-L.Ransom at CAR 30. 22-L.Ransom to CAR 35 for 5 yards. - −30%win prob · wk 1JAX vs CAR · Q2 08:32
39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. - +29%win prob · wk 13LA vs CAR · Q4 02:34
(2:34) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at CAR 31 for -9 yards (95-D.Brown). FUMBLES (95-D.Brown) [95-D.Brown], RECOVERED by CAR-98-D.Wonnum at CAR 30. 98-D.Wonnum to CAR 49 for 19 yards (15-K.Mumpfield). PENALTY on CAR, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 49.