- Net EPA/play
- −0.138 29th of 32
- Points
- 414–492 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 58% +4.9 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 7.7% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play−0.009 19th
Pass EPA/dropback−0.020 25th
Rush EPA/carry+0.014 6th
Offense success45.5% 11th
Defense EPA allowed+0.130 29th
Pass D EPA+0.180 28th
Run D EPA+0.058 31st
Defense success allowed47.8% 28th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play+0.142 3rd
Pass EPA/dropback+0.261 3rd
Rush EPA/carry−0.095 18th
Offense success50.4% 2nd
Defense EPA allowed+0.005 18th
Pass D EPA+0.029 15th
Run D EPA−0.038 24th
Defense success allowed44.3% 22nd
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
79 graded calls, 8 go-for-its
On the 50 clear-cut calls, the Bengals matched the model 78% of the time. They kicked 11 times when going was clearly better, and went 0 times when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 13.3 expected points, 9th fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.77EP · wk 4vs DEN · Q1 09:11 · 4th & 2 at opp 8 · tied
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (9:11) 2-E.McPherson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow. - −1.44EP · wk 6vs GB · Q2 00:01 · 4th & 1 at opp 49 · down 10
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (:01) 2-E.McPherson 67 yard field goal is No Good, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow. 25-K.Nixon at GB -5 to GB 32 for 37 yards (71-A.Mims; 74-J.Rivers). - −1.14EP · wk 2vs JAX · Q2 03:32 · 4th & 3 at opp 13 · down 7
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (3:32) 2-E.McPherson 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow. - −0.81EP · wk 15vs BAL · Q2 07:47 · 4th & 2 at own 35 · tied
Chose punt; model said go for it. (7:47) 8-R.Rehkow punts 44 yards to BAL 21, Center-46-W.Wagner, downed by CIN-46-W.Wagner.
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- −58%win prob · wk 9CHI vs CIN · Q4 00:25
(:25) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass deep middle to 84-C.Loveland for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - −56%win prob · wk 14CIN vs BUF · Q4 05:35
(5:35) 9-J.Burrow pass short right intended for 1-J.Chase INTERCEPTED by 47-C.Benford at BUF 37. 47-C.Benford for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - −46%win prob · wk 18CLE vs CIN · Q4 00:03
(:03) 25-A.Szmyt 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez. ** Injury Update: CIN-23-D.Hill has returned to the game. - +45%win prob · wk 1CLE vs CIN · Q4 01:30
(1:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 19-C.Tillman INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Turner at CLE 47. 20-D.Turner to CLE 40 for 7 yards (34-J.Ford). - +35%win prob · wk 2CIN vs JAX · Q4 00:19
(:19) 6-J.Browning up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.