- Net EPA/play
- −0.094 24th of 32
- Points
- 279–379 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 48% −4.5 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 6.4% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play−0.190 31st
Pass EPA/dropback−0.252 32nd
Rush EPA/carry−0.088 26th
Offense success34.5% 32nd
Defense EPA allowed−0.096 5th
Pass D EPA−0.113 4th
Run D EPA−0.074 13th
Defense success allowed40.2% 4th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play−0.084 26th
Pass EPA/dropback−0.007 22nd
Rush EPA/carry−0.223 30th
Offense success41.3% 23rd
Defense EPA allowed−0.020 12th
Pass D EPA−0.023 9th
Run D EPA−0.016 30th
Defense success allowed42.3% 11th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
115 graded calls, 17 go-for-its
On the 72 clear-cut calls, the Browns matched the model 78% of the time. They kicked 15 times when going was clearly better, and went 1 time when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 17.3 expected points, 20th fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.27EP · wk 13vs SF · Q4 07:30 · 4th & 16 at opp 48 · down 15
Chose go for it; model said punt. (7:30) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders sacked at CLE 42 for -10 yards (56-K.White). - −1.09EP · wk 15vs CHI · Q1 06:02 · 4th & 1 at own 39 · down 7
Chose punt; model said go for it. (6:02) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 61 yards to end zone, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Touchback. - −1.01EP · wk 2vs BAL · Q2 00:33 · 4th & 2 at opp 20 · down 10
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (:33) 25-A.Szmyt 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez. - −0.93EP · wk 5vs MIN · Q4 14:17 · 4th & 1 at own 10 · up 3
Chose punt; model said go for it. (14:17) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 44 yards to MIN 46, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 4-M.Price to CLE 42 for 12 yards (50-R.Sunahara; 28-T.Avery).
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- +46%win prob · wk 18CLE vs CIN · Q4 00:03
(:03) 25-A.Szmyt 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez. ** Injury Update: CIN-23-D.Hill has returned to the game. - −45%win prob · wk 1CLE vs CIN · Q4 01:30
(1:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 19-C.Tillman INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Turner at CLE 47. 20-D.Turner to CLE 40 for 7 yards (34-J.Ford). - −37%win prob · wk 11BAL vs CLE · Q4 02:39
(2:39) Direct snap to 89-M.Andrews. 89-M.Andrews right end for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - −33%win prob · wk 5MIN vs CLE · Q4 00:30
(:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 3-J.Addison for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - +32%win prob · wk 3GB vs CLE · Q4 00:27
(:27) 17-B.McManus 43 yard field goal is BLOCKED (93-S.Harris), Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan, RECOVERED by CLE-0-G.Newsome at CLE 47.