Football, measured

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Dallas Cowboys

2025: 7-9-1 · 22nd in net EPA/play · 2026 thru wk 10: 4-5, 16th

Net EPA/play
−0.070
22nd of 32
Points
471–511
for – against
Neutral pass rate
51%
−1.3 pts over expected
Explosive plays
8.7%
of offensive plays

2025 profile

Where they rank

Offense EPA/play+0.098 5th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.160 7th
Rush EPA/carry−0.003 8th
Offense success46.7% 6th
Defense EPA allowed+0.167 32nd
Pass D EPA+0.243 31st
Run D EPA+0.045 29th
Defense success allowed48.9% 32nd

DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32

2026 so far · thru week 10

This season

Offense EPA/play+0.097 7th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.155 9th
Rush EPA/carry−0.004 9th
Offense success46.5% 9th
Defense EPA allowed+0.091 30th
Pass D EPA+0.171 28th
Run D EPA−0.020 27th
Defense success allowed46.2% 27th

DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32

4th downs · 2025

83 graded calls, 21 go-for-its

On the 50 clear-cut calls, the Cowboys matched the model 74% of the time. They kicked 12 times when going was clearly better, and went 1 time when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 12.0 expected points, 6th fewest in the league.

The costliest calls

  • −1.06EP · wk 3vs CHI · Q1 04:26 · 4th & 2 at opp 34 · down 7
    Chose field goal; model said go for it. (4:26) 17-B.Aubrey 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
  • −1.01EP · wk 18vs NYG · Q1 05:24 · 4th & 4 at opp 4 · down 3
    Chose field goal; model said go for it. (5:24) 17-B.Aubrey 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
  • −0.93EP · wk 13vs KC · Q4 05:20 · 4th & 4 at opp 8 · up 7
    Chose field goal; model said go for it. (5:20) 17-B.Aubrey 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
  • −0.91EP · wk 8vs DEN · Q2 02:25 · 4th & 1 at own 29 · down 10
    Chose punt; model said go for it. (2:25) 5-B.Anger punts 56 yards to DEN 15, Center-44-T.Sieg. 19-M.Mims ran ob at DEN 28 for 13 yards (86-L.Schoonmaker).

Swing plays · 2025

The plays that moved win probability most

  • −50%win prob · wk 2NYG vs DAL · Q4 00:33
    (:33) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 1-M.Nabers for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  • +42%win prob · wk 4GB vs DAL · Q5 00:01
    (:01) 17-B.McManus 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  • −39%win prob · wk 2NYG vs DAL · Q4 02:50
    (2:50) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 17-W.Robinson for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  • −38%win prob · wk 4DAL vs GB · Q5 04:42
    (4:42) 17-B.Aubrey 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
  • +36%win prob · wk 2DAL vs NYG · Q5 03:01
    (3:01) 5-B.Anger punts 49 yards to NYG 13, Center-44-T.Sieg. 80-G.Olszewski to NYG 34 for 21 yards (89-B.Spann-Ford; 2-J.Thomas).