- Net EPA/play
- +0.081 10th of 32
- Points
- 391–360 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 48% −5.7 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 10.7% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play+0.115 4th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.256 2nd
Rush EPA/carry−0.063 21st
Offense success47.7% 5th
Defense EPA allowed+0.034 22nd
Pass D EPA+0.091 22nd
Run D EPA−0.044 17th
Defense success allowed44.8% 19th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play+0.038 12th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.185 6th
Rush EPA/carry−0.236 31st
Offense success41.1% 25th
Defense EPA allowed−0.076 6th
Pass D EPA−0.073 5th
Run D EPA−0.080 16th
Defense success allowed43.6% 15th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
85 graded calls, 17 go-for-its
On the 59 clear-cut calls, the Packers matched the model 68% of the time. They kicked 19 times when going was clearly better, and went 0 times when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 17.6 expected points, 21st fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.01EP · wk 2vs WAS · Q3 06:40 · 4th & 4 at opp 4 · up 11
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (6:40) 17-B.McManus 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. - −1.01EP · wk 16vs CHI · Q2 01:45 · 4th & 4 at opp 4 · up 3
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (1:45) 17-B.McManus 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. - −0.99EP · wk 16vs CHI · Q4 05:06 · 4th & 4 at opp 10 · up 7
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (5:06) 17-B.McManus 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. - −0.99EP · wk 12vs MIN · Q4 07:40 · 4th & 2 at opp 21 · up 14
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (7:40) 17-B.McManus 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- −42%win prob · wk 4GB vs DAL · Q5 00:01
(:01) 17-B.McManus 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. - −41%win prob · wk 16CHI vs GB · Q5 04:57
(4:57) 18-C.Williams pass deep left to 2-D.Moore for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - +38%win prob · wk 4DAL vs GB · Q5 04:42
(4:42) 17-B.Aubrey 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger. - −34%win prob · wk 4DAL vs GB · Q4 00:50
(:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN [1-M.Parsons]. - −32%win prob · wk 3GB vs CLE · Q4 00:27
(:27) 17-B.McManus 43 yard field goal is BLOCKED (93-S.Harris), Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan, RECOVERED by CLE-0-G.Newsome at CLE 47.