- Net EPA/play
- +0.206 2nd of 32
- Points
- 518–346 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 58% +5.9 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 11.8% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play+0.145 2nd
Pass EPA/dropback+0.223 3rd
Rush EPA/carry+0.032 4th
Offense success51.8% 1st
Defense EPA allowed−0.061 9th
Pass D EPA−0.054 10th
Run D EPA−0.072 14th
Defense success allowed42.0% 11th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play+0.041 11th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.058 17th
Rush EPA/carry+0.013 4th
Offense success47.8% 5th
Defense EPA allowed−0.111 4th
Pass D EPA−0.069 6th
Run D EPA−0.176 2nd
Defense success allowed40.3% 6th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
75 graded calls, 22 go-for-its
On the 52 clear-cut calls, the Rams matched the model 73% of the time. They kicked 14 times when going was clearly better, and went 0 times when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 17.2 expected points, 19th fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.34EP · wk 2vs TEN · Q2 07:28 · 4th & 3 at opp 3 · up 4
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (7:28) 16-J.Karty 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans. - −1.34EP · wk 2vs TEN · Q3 09:33 · 4th & 3 at opp 3 · down 3
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (9:33) 16-J.Karty 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans. - −1.20EP · wk 3vs PHI · Q3 08:50 · 4th & 2 at opp 49 · up 12
Chose punt; model said go for it. (8:50) 42-E.Evans punts 36 yards to PHI 13, Center-47-A.Ward, fair catch by 2-J.Dotson. - −1.09EP · wk 5vs SF · Q4 08:18 · 4th & 1 at own 39 · tied
Chose punt; model said go for it. (8:18) 42-E.Evans punts 59 yards to SF 2, Center-47-A.Ward, downed by LA-19-X.Smith.
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- −80%win prob · wk 5LA vs SF · Q5 03:41
(3:41) 23-K.Williams right tackle to SF 11 for no gain (36-M.Sigle; 2-D.Lenoir). - −61%win prob · wk 3LA vs PHI · Q4 00:03
(:03) 16-J.Karty 44 yard field goal is BLOCKED (90-J.Davis), Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans, RECOVERED by PHI-90-J.Davis at PHI 39. 90-J.Davis for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - −59%win prob · wk 5LA vs SF · Q4 01:07
(1:07) 23-K.Williams up the middle to SF 2 for 1 yard (95-A.Collins). FUMBLES (95-A.Collins), RECOVERED by SF-95-A.Collins at SF 1. - −53%win prob · wk 16SEA vs LA · Q5 03:13
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 14-S.Darnold pass to 81-E.Saubert is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. - +44%win prob · wk 16SEA vs LA · Q5 03:17
(3:17) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.