Football, measured

← Teams · AFC West

Los Angeles Chargers

2025: 11-6 · 13th in net EPA/play · 2026 thru wk 10: 0-8, 32nd

Net EPA/play
+0.059
13th of 32
Points
368–340
for – against
Neutral pass rate
58%
+3.7 pts over expected
Explosive plays
7.7%
of offensive plays

2025 profile

Where they rank

Offense EPA/play−0.024 25th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.001 23rd
Rush EPA/carry−0.066 23rd
Offense success43.1% 19th
Defense EPA allowed−0.083 7th
Pass D EPA−0.063 9th
Run D EPA−0.115 3rd
Defense success allowed41.4% 7th

DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32

2026 so far · thru week 10

This season

Offense EPA/play−0.245 32nd
Pass EPA/dropback−0.243 32nd
Rush EPA/carry−0.248 32nd
Offense success35.0% 32nd
Defense EPA allowed+0.003 17th
Pass D EPA+0.059 18th
Run D EPA−0.062 20th
Defense success allowed44.0% 20th

DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32

4th downs · 2025

98 graded calls, 10 go-for-its

On the 72 clear-cut calls, the Chargers matched the model 67% of the time. They kicked 23 times when going was clearly better, and went 1 time when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 24.6 expected points, 31st fewest in the league.

The costliest calls

  • −1.75EP · wk 2vs LV · Q3 07:33 · 4th & 2 at opp 2 · up 11
    Chose field goal; model said go for it. (7:33) 11-C.Dicker 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Lovato, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  • −1.48EP · wk 6vs MIA · Q1 00:39 · 4th & 2 at opp 13 · down 4
    Chose field goal; model said go for it. (:39) 11-C.Dicker 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Lovato, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  • −1.21EP · wk 15vs KC · Q1 02:35 · 4th & 1 at opp 30 · down 7
    Chose field goal; model said go for it. (2:35) 11-C.Dicker 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  • −1.21EP · wk 10vs PIT · Q3 00:49 · 4th & 2 at opp 37 · up 12
    Chose field goal; model said go for it. (:49) 11-C.Dicker 55 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

Swing plays · 2025

The plays that moved win probability most

  • +83%win prob · wk 14PHI vs LAC · Q5 02:35
    (2:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right intended for 2-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 23-T.Jefferson (20-C.Hart) at LAC 1. 23-T.Jefferson to LAC 4 for 3 yards.
  • +37%win prob · wk 6LAC vs MIA · Q4 00:34
    (:34) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 15-L.McConkey ran ob at MIA 17 for 42 yards (23-J.Jones).
  • −33%win prob · wk 14PHI vs LAC · Q5 04:57
    (4:57) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 6-D.Smith to LAC 47 for 28 yards (23-T.Jefferson).
  • −26%win prob · wk 14LAC vs PHI · Q5 06:29
    (6:29) 11-C.Dicker 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  • −25%win prob · wk 14PHI vs LAC · Q4 15:00
    (15:00) 26-S.Barkley left end for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.