- Net EPA/play
- −0.240 30th of 32
- Points
- 241–432 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 51% −1.9 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 7.0% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play−0.215 32nd
Pass EPA/dropback−0.165 30th
Rush EPA/carry−0.304 32nd
Offense success37.6% 30th
Defense EPA allowed+0.024 20th
Pass D EPA+0.099 23rd
Run D EPA−0.072 15th
Defense success allowed45.0% 21st
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play−0.015 17th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.106 11th
Rush EPA/carry−0.215 29th
Offense success42.3% 18th
Defense EPA allowed+0.092 31st
Pass D EPA+0.185 30th
Run D EPA−0.029 26th
Defense success allowed48.0% 31st
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
98 graded calls, 16 go-for-its
On the 70 clear-cut calls, the Raiders matched the model 83% of the time. They kicked 12 times when going was clearly better, and went 0 times when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 13.8 expected points, 11th fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.70EP · wk 18vs KC · Q2 01:56 · 4th & 2 at opp 5 · tied
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (1:56) 8-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole. - −1.33EP · wk 6vs TEN · Q4 07:17 · 4th & 3 at opp 10 · up 14
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (7:17) 8-D.Carlson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole. - −1.02EP · wk 7vs KC · Q1 03:07 · 4th & 2 at own 46 · down 7
Chose punt; model said go for it. (3:07) 6-A.Cole punts 49 yards to KC 5, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer. 81-N.Remigio pushed ob at KC 16 for 11 yards (51-M.Koonce). - −0.99EP · wk 16vs HOU · Q4 13:46 · 4th & 3 at opp 46 · down 2
Chose punt; model said go for it. (13:46) 6-A.Cole punts 34 yards to HOU 12, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, downed by LV-55-C.Lindenberg.
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- +50%win prob · wk 18LV vs KC · Q4 00:13
(:13) 8-D.Carlson 60 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole. - −46%win prob · wk 9LV vs JAX · Q5 00:20
(:20) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 89-B.Bowers for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - −44%win prob · wk 9LV vs JAX · Q4 00:10
(:10) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at LV 29 for -5 yards (sack split by 41-J.Hines-Allen and 90-E.Ogbah). - −42%win prob · wk 9LV vs JAX · Q5 00:16
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 7-G.Smith pass to 17-T.Lockett is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. - +41%win prob · wk 9JAX vs LV · Q5 03:24
39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.