- Net EPA/play
- −0.105 25th of 32
- Points
- 347–424 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 47% −4.1 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 10.4% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play−0.017 22nd
Pass EPA/dropback−0.009 24th
Rush EPA/carry−0.028 11th
Offense success41.9% 27th
Defense EPA allowed+0.088 26th
Pass D EPA+0.166 27th
Run D EPA−0.020 24th
Defense success allowed48.5% 30th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play−0.064 24th
Pass EPA/dropback−0.017 23rd
Rush EPA/carry−0.127 23rd
Offense success38.8% 29th
Defense EPA allowed+0.116 32nd
Pass D EPA+0.264 32nd
Run D EPA−0.060 22nd
Defense success allowed48.7% 32nd
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
76 graded calls, 7 go-for-its
On the 42 clear-cut calls, the Dolphins matched the model 79% of the time. They kicked 9 times when going was clearly better, and went 0 times when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 11.8 expected points, 5th fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.76EP · wk 6vs LAC · Q2 00:04 · 4th & 2 at opp 9 · up 1
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (:04) 47-R.Patterson 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-16-J.Bailey. - −1.14EP · wk 17vs TB · Q4 14:19 · 4th & 3 at opp 13 · up 7
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (14:19) 47-R.Patterson 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-16-J.Bailey. - −1.04EP · wk 13vs NO · Q3 09:05 · 4th & 1 at own 36 · up 8
Chose punt; model said go for it. (9:05) 16-J.Bailey punts 54 yards to NO 10, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 11-D.Pettis. - −0.91EP · wk 17vs TB · Q4 08:45 · 4th & 1 at own 27 · up 10
Chose punt; model said go for it. (8:45) 16-J.Bailey punts 51 yards to TB 22, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson.
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- −37%win prob · wk 6LAC vs MIA · Q4 00:34
(:34) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 15-L.McConkey ran ob at MIA 17 for 42 yards (23-J.Jones). - −30%win prob · wk 2NE vs MIA · Q4 07:18
47-R.Patterson kicks 55 yards from MIA 35 to NE 10. 4-A.Gibson for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - +29%win prob · wk 11WAS vs MIA · Q4 00:15
(:15) 16-M.Gay 56 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way. - −27%win prob · wk 5CAR vs MIA · Q4 03:31
(3:31) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 15-Ji.Horn to MIA 16 for 17 yards (26-R.Douglas). - +27%win prob · wk 5MIA vs CAR · Q4 04:50
(4:50) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep left to 17-J.Waddle for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.