- Net EPA/play
- −0.274 32nd of 32
- Points
- 300–503 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 41% −12.2 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 6.6% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play−0.127 29th
Pass EPA/dropback−0.141 28th
Rush EPA/carry−0.103 28th
Offense success40.7% 29th
Defense EPA allowed+0.147 31st
Pass D EPA+0.287 32nd
Run D EPA−0.023 22nd
Defense success allowed45.6% 24th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play+0.003 15th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.084 15th
Rush EPA/carry−0.116 20th
Offense success45.0% 11th
Defense EPA allowed+0.039 22nd
Pass D EPA+0.161 26th
Run D EPA−0.112 8th
Defense success allowed46.7% 29th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
89 graded calls, 13 go-for-its
On the 49 clear-cut calls, the Jets matched the model 76% of the time. They kicked 12 times when going was clearly better, and went 0 times when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 13.7 expected points, 10th fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.27EP · wk 13vs ATL · Q1 07:19 · 4th & 2 at opp 48 · tied
Chose punt; model said go for it. (7:19) 14-A.McNamara punts 38 yards to ATL 10, Center-42-T.Hennessy, downed by NYJ-37-Q.Stiggers. - −1.21EP · wk 8vs CIN · Q2 12:17 · 4th & 1 at opp 28 · down 10
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (12:17) 6-N.Folk 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara. - −0.93EP · wk 6vs DEN · Q4 10:23 · 4th & 1 at own 30 · up 1
Chose punt; model said go for it. (10:23) 14-A.McNamara punts 44 yards to DEN 26, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 19-M.Mims. - −0.80EP · wk 17vs NE · Q1 09:20 · 4th & 2 at own 37 · down 7
Chose punt; model said go for it. (9:20) 14-A.McNamara punts 48 yards to NE 15, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 25-M.Jones.
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- +42%win prob · wk 3TB vs NYJ · Q4 02:00
(2:00) 4-C.McLaughlin 43 yard field goal is BLOCKED (9-W.McDonald), Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon, RECOVERED by NYJ-9-W.McDonald at 50. 9-W.McDonald for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - −33%win prob · wk 3TB vs NYJ · Q4 00:03
(:03) 4-C.McLaughlin 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon. - −30%win prob · wk 6NYJ vs DEN · Q4 01:14
(1:14) (Shotgun) 7-J.Fields sacked at NYJ 44 for -12 yards (sack split by 0-J.Cooper and 22-B.Jones). - +29%win prob · wk 13NYJ vs ATL · Q4 00:05
(:05) 6-N.Folk 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara. - −28%win prob · wk 1NYJ vs PIT · Q4 14:57
9-C.Boswell kicks 64 yards from PIT 35 to NYJ 1. 3-X.Gipson to NYJ 20 for 19 yards (14-K.Gainwell). FUMBLES (14-K.Gainwell), RECOVERED by PIT-15-B.Skowronek at NYJ 22. 15-B.Skowronek to NYJ 22 for no gain (3-X.Gipson).