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Pittsburgh Steelers
2025: 10-7 · 17th in net EPA/play · 2026 thru wk 10: 6-2, 12th
- Net EPA/play
- +0.009 17th of 32
- Points
- 397–387 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 53% −0.4 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 8.6% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play+0.026 15th
Pass EPA/dropback+0.036 19th
Rush EPA/carry+0.011 7th
Offense success44.0% 17th
Defense EPA allowed+0.018 18th
Pass D EPA+0.045 16th
Run D EPA−0.027 21st
Defense success allowed43.3% 13th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play−0.027 20th
Pass EPA/dropback−0.110 26th
Rush EPA/carry+0.119 1st
Offense success42.1% 20th
Defense EPA allowed−0.074 7th
Pass D EPA−0.028 8th
Run D EPA−0.161 4th
Defense success allowed41.8% 10th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
100 graded calls, 16 go-for-its
On the 62 clear-cut calls, the Steelers matched the model 73% of the time. They kicked 17 times when going was clearly better, and went 0 times when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 22.1 expected points, 30th fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.68EP · wk 18vs BAL · Q3 04:31 · 4th & 2 at opp 7 · tied
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (4:31) 9-C.Boswell 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman. - −1.32EP · wk 2vs SEA · Q3 01:41 · 4th & 1 at own 48 · tied
Chose punt; model said go for it. (1:41) 3-C.Waitman punts 43 yards to SEA 9, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 15-T.Horton. - −1.30EP · wk 14vs BAL · Q2 10:41 · 4th & 3 at opp 5 · up 4
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (10:41) 9-C.Boswell 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman. - −1.21EP · wk 11vs CIN · Q3 04:20 · 4th & 3 at opp 12 · up 1
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (4:20) 9-C.Boswell 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- +54%win prob · wk 18BAL vs PIT · Q4 00:02
(:02) 33-T.Loop 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout. - −45%win prob · wk 18BAL vs PIT · Q4 02:30
(2:30) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 4-Z.Flowers for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on PIT-24-J.Porter, Defensive Holding, declined. - −35%win prob · wk 18BAL vs PIT · Q4 00:21
(:21) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 80-I.Likely to PIT 24 for 26 yards (5-J.Ramsey) [90-T.Watt]. - +34%win prob · wk 18PIT vs BAL · Q4 01:00
(1:00) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 19-C.Austin for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - +33%win prob · wk 7PIT vs CIN · Q4 02:31
(2:31) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 88-P.Freiermuth for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.