- Net EPA/play
- −0.261 31st of 32
- Points
- 284–478 for – against
- Neutral pass rate
- 49% −3.5 pts over expected
- Explosive plays
- 7.6% of offensive plays
2025 profile
Where they rank
Offense EPA/play−0.160 30th
Pass EPA/dropback−0.196 31st
Rush EPA/carry−0.092 27th
Offense success37.4% 31st
Defense EPA allowed+0.101 28th
Pass D EPA+0.182 29th
Run D EPA−0.022 23rd
Defense success allowed45.2% 22nd
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
2026 so far · thru week 10
This season
Offense EPA/play−0.088 27th
Pass EPA/dropback−0.096 25th
Rush EPA/carry−0.076 17th
Offense success41.8% 22nd
Defense EPA allowed+0.069 25th
Pass D EPA+0.171 29th
Run D EPA−0.072 18th
Defense success allowed46.9% 30th
DOT POSITION: LEAGUE WORST (LEFT) → BEST (RIGHT) · RANK OF 32
4th downs · 2025
104 graded calls, 12 go-for-its
On the 64 clear-cut calls, the Titans matched the model 78% of the time. They kicked 13 times when going was clearly better, and went 1 time when kicking was. Total cost of calls that differed from the model: 18.9 expected points, 24th fewest in the league.
The costliest calls
- −1.98EP · wk 12vs SEA · Q4 06:21 · 4th & 21 at opp 35 · down 13
Chose go for it; model said field goal. (6:21) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 84-G.Helm to SEA 20 for 15 yards (23-D.Bell) [99-L.Williams]. - −1.37EP · wk 1vs DEN · Q3 11:59 · 4th & 1 at opp 17 · down 1
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (11:59) 6-J.Slye 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker. - −1.33EP · wk 13vs JAX · Q1 05:08 · 4th & 3 at opp 10 · tied
Chose field goal; model said go for it. (5:08) 6-J.Slye 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker. - −1.21EP · wk 6vs LV · Q1 12:59 · 4th & 1 at own 44 · tied
Chose punt; model said go for it. (12:59) 3-J.Hekker punts 36 yards to LV 20, Center-46-M.Cox, fair catch by 81-A.Bachman.
Swing plays · 2025
The plays that moved win probability most
- +37%win prob · wk 5TEN vs ARI · Q4 00:03
(:03) 6-J.Slye 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker. - +29%win prob · wk 5TEN vs ARI · Q4 00:32
(:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep right to 0-C.Ridley ran ob at ARI 15 for 38 yards. - −21%win prob · wk 14CLE vs TEN · Q2 02:58
(2:58) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders pass deep middle to 3-J.Jeudy for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - −21%win prob · wk 11HOU vs TEN · Q4 00:02
(:02) 42-M.Wright 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend. - +21%win prob · wk 11TEN vs HOU · Q4 01:55
(1:55) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep left to 85-C.Okonkwo ran ob at HOU 7 for 39 yards [55-D.Hunter].